MAG7 vs. S&P 493 – April 7 → August 12, 2025
The market picture is clear: The big ones are carrying, the broad base is providing limited support. Here's an X-ray of the last 4.5 months
MAG7 (AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA)
• Index Weight: ~35.4% (record high)
• Performance: +10.7%
• Earnings growth +28% in Q1, continued strong in Q2
• Still priced in with the "AI + quality growth" narrative
• Risk: High valuation → susceptibility to surprises
S&P 493 (Remainder)
• Performance: +4.1% (RSP index)
• Breadth: 55% at 200-day moving average
• Earnings growth, but above-index momentum is limited
• Valuation is more reasonable → potential for "catch-up"
Overall Index (S&P 500)
• Performance: +8.3%
• P/E: 22.1x → Above 5- and 10-year moving averages
• Q2 earnings growth: 11.8% (mega-caps again the driving force)
Reading:
While the MAG7 rebounded ~35% from its April 7 lows, the broad base remains moderate. Most of the index's rise comes from giants. Concentration risk is high → the impact is disproportionate, both in the uptrend and downtrend.
Tactical Recommendation:
- Strengthen the Majors: Include companies with growing profits and strong balance sheets (excess cash) within the MAG7 in your main portfolio.
- Layer the Rest: Add small-medium weightings to sectors (healthcare, select industrials, some defensive stocks) within the 493 whose earnings expectations have been revised upwards and whose prices remain reasonable.
- Divide Risk: Don't concentrate your investment solely on giant stocks; Diversify with products like the equal-weight index (RSP) or the S&P 500 – Excluding Top 10 Stocks.
- Follow the Macro: Fed interest rate decisions, inflation data, and global trade news can quickly change the direction of mega-cap stocks in particular.
This is not investment advice, but for informational purposes only!!!
#MAG7 #SP500 #Finance #StockMarket #Investment #Stocks #MarketAnalysis #Investor #BorsaIstanbul #NASDAQ #WallStreet #Economy #FinancialLiteracy #Index #InvestmentStrategy #Portfolio
The market picture is clear: The big ones are carrying, the broad base is providing limited support. Here's an X-ray of the last 4.5 months
MAG7 (AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA)
• Index Weight: ~35.4% (record high)
• Performance: +10.7%
• Earnings growth +28% in Q1, continued strong in Q2
• Still priced in with the "AI + quality growth" narrative
• Risk: High valuation → susceptibility to surprises
S&P 493 (Remainder)
• Performance: +4.1% (RSP index)
• Breadth: 55% at 200-day moving average
• Earnings growth, but above-index momentum is limited
• Valuation is more reasonable → potential for "catch-up"
Overall Index (S&P 500)
• Performance: +8.3%
• P/E: 22.1x → Above 5- and 10-year moving averages
• Q2 earnings growth: 11.8% (mega-caps again the driving force)
Reading:
While the MAG7 rebounded ~35% from its April 7 lows, the broad base remains moderate. Most of the index's rise comes from giants. Concentration risk is high → the impact is disproportionate, both in the uptrend and downtrend.
Tactical Recommendation:
- Strengthen the Majors: Include companies with growing profits and strong balance sheets (excess cash) within the MAG7 in your main portfolio.
- Layer the Rest: Add small-medium weightings to sectors (healthcare, select industrials, some defensive stocks) within the 493 whose earnings expectations have been revised upwards and whose prices remain reasonable.
- Divide Risk: Don't concentrate your investment solely on giant stocks; Diversify with products like the equal-weight index (RSP) or the S&P 500 – Excluding Top 10 Stocks.
- Follow the Macro: Fed interest rate decisions, inflation data, and global trade news can quickly change the direction of mega-cap stocks in particular.
This is not investment advice, but for informational purposes only!!!
#MAG7 #SP500 #Finance #StockMarket #Investment #Stocks #MarketAnalysis #Investor #BorsaIstanbul #NASDAQ #WallStreet #Economy #FinancialLiteracy #Index #InvestmentStrategy #Portfolio
📊 MAG7 vs. S&P 493 – April 7 → August 12, 2025
The market picture is clear: The big ones are carrying, the broad base is providing limited support. Here's an X-ray of the last 4.5 months ⬇️
🔹 MAG7 (AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA)
• Index Weight: ~35.4% 📈 (record high)
• Performance: +10.7%
• Earnings growth +28% in Q1, continued strong in Q2
• Still priced in with the "AI + quality growth" narrative
• Risk: High valuation → susceptibility to surprises
🔹 S&P 493 (Remainder)
• Performance: +4.1% (RSP index)
• Breadth: 55% at 200-day moving average
• Earnings growth, but above-index momentum is limited
• Valuation is more reasonable → potential for "catch-up"
🔹 Overall Index (S&P 500)
• Performance: +8.3%
• P/E: 22.1x → Above 5- and 10-year moving averages
• Q2 earnings growth: 11.8% (mega-caps again the driving force)
📌 Reading:
While the MAG7 rebounded ~35% from its April 7 lows, the broad base remains moderate. Most of the index's rise comes from giants. Concentration risk is high → the impact is disproportionate, both in the uptrend and downtrend.
📌 Tactical Recommendation:
- Strengthen the Majors: Include companies with growing profits and strong balance sheets (excess cash) within the MAG7 in your main portfolio.
- Layer the Rest: Add small-medium weightings to sectors (healthcare, select industrials, some defensive stocks) within the 493 whose earnings expectations have been revised upwards and whose prices remain reasonable.
- Divide Risk: Don't concentrate your investment solely on giant stocks; Diversify with products like the equal-weight index (RSP) or the S&P 500 – Excluding Top 10 Stocks.
- Follow the Macro: Fed interest rate decisions, inflation data, and global trade news can quickly change the direction of mega-cap stocks in particular.
This is not investment advice, but for informational purposes only!!!
#MAG7 #SP500 #Finance #StockMarket #Investment #Stocks #MarketAnalysis #Investor #BorsaIstanbul #NASDAQ #WallStreet #Economy #FinancialLiteracy #Index #InvestmentStrategy #Portfolio
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