• MAG7 vs. S&P 493 – April 7 → August 12, 2025

    The market picture is clear: The big ones are carrying, the broad base is providing limited support. Here's an X-ray of the last 4.5 months

    MAG7 (AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA)
    • Index Weight: ~35.4% (record high)
    • Performance: +10.7%
    • Earnings growth +28% in Q1, continued strong in Q2
    • Still priced in with the "AI + quality growth" narrative
    • Risk: High valuation → susceptibility to surprises

    S&P 493 (Remainder)
    • Performance: +4.1% (RSP index)
    • Breadth: 55% at 200-day moving average
    • Earnings growth, but above-index momentum is limited
    • Valuation is more reasonable → potential for "catch-up"

    Overall Index (S&P 500)
    • Performance: +8.3%
    • P/E: 22.1x → Above 5- and 10-year moving averages
    • Q2 earnings growth: 11.8% (mega-caps again the driving force)

    Reading:
    While the MAG7 rebounded ~35% from its April 7 lows, the broad base remains moderate. Most of the index's rise comes from giants. Concentration risk is high → the impact is disproportionate, both in the uptrend and downtrend.

    Tactical Recommendation:

    - Strengthen the Majors: Include companies with growing profits and strong balance sheets (excess cash) within the MAG7 in your main portfolio.

    - Layer the Rest: Add small-medium weightings to sectors (healthcare, select industrials, some defensive stocks) within the 493 whose earnings expectations have been revised upwards and whose prices remain reasonable.

    - Divide Risk: Don't concentrate your investment solely on giant stocks; Diversify with products like the equal-weight index (RSP) or the S&P 500 – Excluding Top 10 Stocks.

    - Follow the Macro: Fed interest rate decisions, inflation data, and global trade news can quickly change the direction of mega-cap stocks in particular.

    This is not investment advice, but for informational purposes only!!!
    #MAG7 #SP500 #Finance #StockMarket #Investment #Stocks #MarketAnalysis #Investor #BorsaIstanbul #NASDAQ #WallStreet #Economy #FinancialLiteracy #Index #InvestmentStrategy #Portfolio
    📊 MAG7 vs. S&P 493 – April 7 → August 12, 2025 The market picture is clear: The big ones are carrying, the broad base is providing limited support. Here's an X-ray of the last 4.5 months ⬇️ 🔹 MAG7 (AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA) • Index Weight: ~35.4% 📈 (record high) • Performance: +10.7% • Earnings growth +28% in Q1, continued strong in Q2 • Still priced in with the "AI + quality growth" narrative • Risk: High valuation → susceptibility to surprises 🔹 S&P 493 (Remainder) • Performance: +4.1% (RSP index) • Breadth: 55% at 200-day moving average • Earnings growth, but above-index momentum is limited • Valuation is more reasonable → potential for "catch-up" 🔹 Overall Index (S&P 500) • Performance: +8.3% • P/E: 22.1x → Above 5- and 10-year moving averages • Q2 earnings growth: 11.8% (mega-caps again the driving force) 📌 Reading: While the MAG7 rebounded ~35% from its April 7 lows, the broad base remains moderate. Most of the index's rise comes from giants. Concentration risk is high → the impact is disproportionate, both in the uptrend and downtrend. 📌 Tactical Recommendation: - Strengthen the Majors: Include companies with growing profits and strong balance sheets (excess cash) within the MAG7 in your main portfolio. - Layer the Rest: Add small-medium weightings to sectors (healthcare, select industrials, some defensive stocks) within the 493 whose earnings expectations have been revised upwards and whose prices remain reasonable. - Divide Risk: Don't concentrate your investment solely on giant stocks; Diversify with products like the equal-weight index (RSP) or the S&P 500 – Excluding Top 10 Stocks. - Follow the Macro: Fed interest rate decisions, inflation data, and global trade news can quickly change the direction of mega-cap stocks in particular. This is not investment advice, but for informational purposes only!!! #MAG7 #SP500 #Finance #StockMarket #Investment #Stocks #MarketAnalysis #Investor #BorsaIstanbul #NASDAQ #WallStreet #Economy #FinancialLiteracy #Index #InvestmentStrategy #Portfolio
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  • $BMNR | The art of Ethereum accumulation, or a strategy lesson?

    July 29: 625K $ETH purchased, avg: $3,755
    August 4: Position increased to 833K ETH, avg cost $3,492
    Was the new 208K ETH purchased at an average price of $2,702?

    ❗️Yet, spot ETH never fell below $3,380 during this period.

    So how did BMNR buy at such a low price?

    Answer: Could be forward agreements or structured derivatives contracts.
    ETH was around $2,500 during the "big bang" announcement at the end of June. Call rights were likely created at that time and are now being activated.

    This may be the reason for the recent surge in the stock: Investors are waking up to this strategic buying.

    If ETH additions continue at this rate, BMNR will be one of the few companies collecting below the spot price.


    Tommy L and his team may be making a very smart play.

    #ETH #Ethereum #BMNR #CryptoStocks #Blockchain #InvestmentStrategy #SmartMoney
    🧠 $BMNR | The art of Ethereum accumulation, or a strategy lesson? 🔹 July 29: 625K $ETH purchased, avg: $3,755 🔹 August 4: Position increased to 833K ETH, avg cost $3,492 🔹 Was the new 208K ETH purchased at an average price of $2,702? ❗️Yet, spot ETH never fell below $3,380 during this period. ➡️So how did BMNR buy at such a low price? Answer: Could be forward agreements or structured derivatives contracts. ETH was around $2,500 during the "big bang" announcement at the end of June. Call rights were likely created at that time and are now being activated. This may be the reason for the recent surge in the stock: Investors are waking up to this strategic buying. If ETH additions continue at this rate, BMNR will be one of the few companies collecting below the spot price. Tommy L and his team may be making a very smart play. #ETH #Ethereum #BMNR #CryptoStocks #Blockchain #InvestmentStrategy #SmartMoney
    0 التعليقات 0 المشاركات 1كيلو بايت مشاهدة 0 معاينة