• MAG7 vs. S&P 493 – April 7 → August 12, 2025

    The market picture is clear: The big ones are carrying, the broad base is providing limited support. Here's an X-ray of the last 4.5 months

    MAG7 (AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA)
    • Index Weight: ~35.4% (record high)
    • Performance: +10.7%
    • Earnings growth +28% in Q1, continued strong in Q2
    • Still priced in with the "AI + quality growth" narrative
    • Risk: High valuation → susceptibility to surprises

    S&P 493 (Remainder)
    • Performance: +4.1% (RSP index)
    • Breadth: 55% at 200-day moving average
    • Earnings growth, but above-index momentum is limited
    • Valuation is more reasonable → potential for "catch-up"

    Overall Index (S&P 500)
    • Performance: +8.3%
    • P/E: 22.1x → Above 5- and 10-year moving averages
    • Q2 earnings growth: 11.8% (mega-caps again the driving force)

    Reading:
    While the MAG7 rebounded ~35% from its April 7 lows, the broad base remains moderate. Most of the index's rise comes from giants. Concentration risk is high → the impact is disproportionate, both in the uptrend and downtrend.

    Tactical Recommendation:

    - Strengthen the Majors: Include companies with growing profits and strong balance sheets (excess cash) within the MAG7 in your main portfolio.

    - Layer the Rest: Add small-medium weightings to sectors (healthcare, select industrials, some defensive stocks) within the 493 whose earnings expectations have been revised upwards and whose prices remain reasonable.

    - Divide Risk: Don't concentrate your investment solely on giant stocks; Diversify with products like the equal-weight index (RSP) or the S&P 500 – Excluding Top 10 Stocks.

    - Follow the Macro: Fed interest rate decisions, inflation data, and global trade news can quickly change the direction of mega-cap stocks in particular.

    This is not investment advice, but for informational purposes only!!!
    #MAG7 #SP500 #Finance #StockMarket #Investment #Stocks #MarketAnalysis #Investor #BorsaIstanbul #NASDAQ #WallStreet #Economy #FinancialLiteracy #Index #InvestmentStrategy #Portfolio
    📊 MAG7 vs. S&P 493 – April 7 → August 12, 2025 The market picture is clear: The big ones are carrying, the broad base is providing limited support. Here's an X-ray of the last 4.5 months ⬇️ 🔹 MAG7 (AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA) • Index Weight: ~35.4% 📈 (record high) • Performance: +10.7% • Earnings growth +28% in Q1, continued strong in Q2 • Still priced in with the "AI + quality growth" narrative • Risk: High valuation → susceptibility to surprises 🔹 S&P 493 (Remainder) • Performance: +4.1% (RSP index) • Breadth: 55% at 200-day moving average • Earnings growth, but above-index momentum is limited • Valuation is more reasonable → potential for "catch-up" 🔹 Overall Index (S&P 500) • Performance: +8.3% • P/E: 22.1x → Above 5- and 10-year moving averages • Q2 earnings growth: 11.8% (mega-caps again the driving force) 📌 Reading: While the MAG7 rebounded ~35% from its April 7 lows, the broad base remains moderate. Most of the index's rise comes from giants. Concentration risk is high → the impact is disproportionate, both in the uptrend and downtrend. 📌 Tactical Recommendation: - Strengthen the Majors: Include companies with growing profits and strong balance sheets (excess cash) within the MAG7 in your main portfolio. - Layer the Rest: Add small-medium weightings to sectors (healthcare, select industrials, some defensive stocks) within the 493 whose earnings expectations have been revised upwards and whose prices remain reasonable. - Divide Risk: Don't concentrate your investment solely on giant stocks; Diversify with products like the equal-weight index (RSP) or the S&P 500 – Excluding Top 10 Stocks. - Follow the Macro: Fed interest rate decisions, inflation data, and global trade news can quickly change the direction of mega-cap stocks in particular. This is not investment advice, but for informational purposes only!!! #MAG7 #SP500 #Finance #StockMarket #Investment #Stocks #MarketAnalysis #Investor #BorsaIstanbul #NASDAQ #WallStreet #Economy #FinancialLiteracy #Index #InvestmentStrategy #Portfolio
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  • $CRCL | Circle Internet Q2’25 Summary

    • Revenue: $658M (Est. $644.7M) | +53% YoY
    • EPS: -$0.18 (Est. $0.34) → non-cash expenses, largely driven by the IPO; Net Loss -$482M (including $591M IPO-related charges)

    USDC & Operations
    • USDC in circulation: $61.3B (+90% YoY) — Aug 10: $65.2B
    • Avg USDC: $61.0B (+86% YoY)
    • Market share: 28% (+595 bps YoY)
    • USDC on platform: $6.0B (+924% YoY)
    • Meaningful wallets: 5.7M (+68% YoY)

    Profitability
    • Adj. EBITDA: $126M (+52% YoY), margin 50% (+463 bps)
    • RLDC: $251M (+38% YoY); margin 38% (-408 bps) → to watch

    Guidance
    • USDC growth: ~40% CAGR (multi-year)
    • FY25 Other Rev: $75–85M | FY25 RLDC margin: 36–38%
    • FY25 Adj. Opex: $475–490M

    Strategy / Corporate
    • $1.2B IPO completed; $583M net cash
    • Circle Payments Network (May): 100+ institution pipeline
    • Arc: L1 for stablecoin finance (public testnet fall)
    • Partnerships: Binance, Corpay, FIS, Fiserv, OKX
    • GENIUS Act enacted → Federal stablecoin framework in the US

    CEO – Jeremy Allaire: IPO marks critical turning point for Circle and stablecoin adoption; cross-industry interest accelerates.

    My comment:
    Strong outlook: USDC volume & market share accelerating; core profitability (Adj. EBITDA, 50% margin) healthy.
    Red dot: EPS/Net loss largely a non-cash accounting impact from the IPO; not a sign of operational weakness.
    3 key points in focus: (1) Is USDC circulation growth sustainable? (2) Is the RLDC margin reversing from 38%? (3) Actual adoption/integration speed in Payments Network & Arc.
    Thesis: Regulation clarified with the GENIUS Act + institutional partnerships → Increases revenue visibility in 2H25.
    Risks: Crypto volume cycle, Tether competition, maintaining OPEX discipline.

    Not investment advice!!!
    #CRCL #USDC #Stablecoin #Crypto #Fintech #Earnings #Web3 #Payments #Blockchain
    $CRCL | Circle Internet Q2’25 Summary • Revenue: $658M 🟢 (Est. $644.7M) | +53% YoY • EPS: -$0.18 🔴 (Est. $0.34) → non-cash expenses, largely driven by the IPO; Net Loss -$482M (including $591M IPO-related charges) USDC & Operations • USDC in circulation: $61.3B (+90% YoY) — Aug 10: $65.2B • Avg USDC: $61.0B (+86% YoY) • Market share: 28% (+595 bps YoY) • USDC on platform: $6.0B (+924% YoY) • Meaningful wallets: 5.7M (+68% YoY) Profitability • Adj. EBITDA: $126M (+52% YoY), margin 50% (+463 bps) 🟢 • RLDC: $251M (+38% YoY); margin 38% (-408 bps) → to watch Guidance • USDC growth: ~40% CAGR (multi-year) • FY25 Other Rev: $75–85M | FY25 RLDC margin: 36–38% • FY25 Adj. Opex: $475–490M Strategy / Corporate • $1.2B IPO completed; $583M net cash • Circle Payments Network (May): 100+ institution pipeline • Arc: L1 for stablecoin finance (public testnet fall) • Partnerships: Binance, Corpay, FIS, Fiserv, OKX • GENIUS Act enacted → Federal stablecoin framework in the US CEO – Jeremy Allaire: IPO marks critical turning point for Circle and stablecoin adoption; cross-industry interest accelerates. My comment: Strong outlook: USDC volume & market share accelerating; core profitability (Adj. EBITDA, 50% margin) healthy. Red dot: EPS/Net loss largely a non-cash accounting impact from the IPO; not a sign of operational weakness. 3 key points in focus: (1) Is USDC circulation growth sustainable? (2) Is the RLDC margin reversing from 38%? (3) Actual adoption/integration speed in Payments Network & Arc. Thesis: Regulation clarified with the GENIUS Act + institutional partnerships → Increases revenue visibility in 2H25. Risks: Crypto volume cycle, Tether competition, maintaining OPEX discipline. Not investment advice!!! #CRCL #USDC #Stablecoin #Crypto #Fintech #Earnings #Web3 #Payments #Blockchain
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  • need someone to tell me how he did this
    need someone to tell me how he did this
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  • Legend has spoken 🫡
    Legend has spoken 🫡
    The best explanation of crypto in under 2 minutes—featuring Cardano and Ethereum founder, Charles Hoskinson.

    #crypto #cryptonews #cryptocurrency #bitcoin #blockchain #podcast #shawnryanshow
    #changemakersnft
    #charleshoskinson
    #cardano
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  • Congrats $SNEK

    Not ONE not TWO but THREE Tier-1 exchanges!

    $SNEK is now available for trading on:
    KuCoin
    cryptodotcom
    HTX

    #snek
    #memecoin
    #changemakersnft
    #cryptonews
    #crytonaut
    Congrats $SNEK 🎉 Not ONE not TWO but THREE Tier-1 exchanges! 🚨 $SNEK is now available for trading on: KuCoin ✅ cryptodotcom ✅ HTX ✅ #snek #memecoin #changemakersnft #cryptonews #crytonaut
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  • Hi Cryptonauts, if you're following me and I haven't followed you back, let me know.
    We should be following each other and connecting. Let's make the world a better place together.
    Cheers to change!

    #cryptonaut
    #follow4follow
    #changemakersnft
    Hi Cryptonauts, if you're following me and I haven't followed you back, let me know. We should be following each other and connecting. Let's make the world a better place together. 🙌 Cheers to change! 🍻 #cryptonaut #follow4follow #changemakersnft
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  • The Atlanta Fed's Core Sticky CPI data has shown a sharp increase since Independence Day. The rise in these "sticky" items, where prices change more slowly, suggests that inflation could be more persistent.

    Analysts are closely watching how this data will affect markets.

    #Inflation #Economy #Fed #CPI #Market #Investment #RBAdvisors
    The Atlanta Fed's Core Sticky CPI data has shown a sharp increase since Independence Day. The rise in these "sticky" items, where prices change more slowly, suggests that inflation could be more persistent. Analysts are closely watching how this data will affect markets. #Inflation #Economy #Fed #CPI #Market #Investment #RBAdvisors
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  • $CRWV | CoreWeave Q2’25

    1️⃣ Financial Outlook
    • Revenue: $1.21B (Expected: same) 206% YoY growth
    • EPS: -$0.60 (Expected: +$0.01)
    • Adj. EBITDA: $753.2M (+201% YoY) → 62% margin
    • Revenue Backlog: $30.1B
    • Adj. Operating Income: $199.8M (+134% YoY)
    • Operating Expenses: $1.19B (Last year: $317.7M)
    • $2B debt (2030 maturity, 9.25% coupon), demand is high → increased by $500M.

    2️⃣ Operations & Technology
    • $4B expansion agreement with OpenAI (total: $15.9B)
    • Expansion with major customers like BT Group, Cohere, Mistral, LG CNS, Toyota Woven
    • First NVIDIA GB200 NVL72 systems deployed at scale → B200-based servers are now generally available.
    • Largest test at MLPerf Training v5.0 → 34x the size and 4.5x the performance of competitors
    • Acquired Weights & Biases → Launch of Mission Control, W&B Inference, and Weave Online Evaluations
    • 250MW AI data center JV in Kenilworth, NJ → First phase in 2026

    3️⃣ Power Capacity
    • Active: 470 MW
    • Contracted additional power: +600 MW → Leading to a total capacity of 2.2 GW.

    4️⃣ Why It Matters:
    • AI demand is at a historic high; CoreWeave is the first company to offer the full Blackwell GPU portfolio at scale.
    • The infrastructure platform of choice for AI pioneers like OpenAI, Cohere, and Mistral.
    • High growth rate + massive backlog → Strong outlook for the coming years.

    CEO: We're scaling at record speed to meet AI demand. CoreWeave is the platform of choice for cutting-edge AI workloads.

    Not investment advice!!!
    #CoreWeave #CRWV #AI #DataCenters #GPU #Nvidia #Blackwell #TechStocks #OpenAI #MachineLearning #Larnings #Investing #Stock Market #Nasdaq #FinTech
    $CRWV | CoreWeave Q2’25 1️⃣ Financial Outlook • Revenue: $1.21B (Expected: same) ➡️ 206% YoY growth 🚀 • EPS: -$0.60 (Expected: +$0.01) 🔴 • Adj. EBITDA: $753.2M (+201% YoY) → 62% margin • Revenue Backlog: $30.1B 📈 • Adj. Operating Income: $199.8M (+134% YoY) • Operating Expenses: $1.19B (Last year: $317.7M) • $2B debt (2030 maturity, 9.25% coupon), demand is high → increased by $500M. 2️⃣ Operations & Technology • $4B expansion agreement with OpenAI (total: $15.9B) • Expansion with major customers like BT Group, Cohere, Mistral, LG CNS, Toyota Woven 📡 • First NVIDIA GB200 NVL72 systems deployed at scale → B200-based servers are now generally available. • Largest test at MLPerf Training v5.0 → 34x the size and 4.5x the performance of competitors ⚡ • Acquired Weights & Biases → Launch of Mission Control, W&B Inference, and Weave Online Evaluations • 250MW AI data center JV in Kenilworth, NJ → First phase in 2026 3️⃣ Power Capacity • Active: 470 MW ⚡ • Contracted additional power: +600 MW → Leading to a total capacity of 2.2 GW. 4️⃣ Why It Matters: • AI demand is at a historic high; CoreWeave is the first company to offer the full Blackwell GPU portfolio at scale. • The infrastructure platform of choice for AI pioneers like OpenAI, Cohere, and Mistral. • High growth rate + massive backlog → Strong outlook for the coming years. 🗨️ CEO: We're scaling at record speed to meet AI demand. CoreWeave is the platform of choice for cutting-edge AI workloads. Not investment advice!!! #CoreWeave #CRWV #AI #DataCenters #GPU #Nvidia #Blackwell #TechStocks #OpenAI #MachineLearning #Larnings #Investing #Stock Market #Nasdaq #FinTech
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  • Cardano holders finally getting their moment

    #ADA
    #cardano
    #cryptonaut
    #changemakersnft
    Cardano holders finally getting their moment 🚀 #ADA #cardano #cryptonaut #changemakersnft
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  • No one is safe in the Iagon discord
    No one is safe in the Iagon discord
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