• $CRCL | Circle Internet Q2’25 Summary

    • Revenue: $658M (Est. $644.7M) | +53% YoY
    • EPS: -$0.18 (Est. $0.34) → non-cash expenses, largely driven by the IPO; Net Loss -$482M (including $591M IPO-related charges)

    USDC & Operations
    • USDC in circulation: $61.3B (+90% YoY) — Aug 10: $65.2B
    • Avg USDC: $61.0B (+86% YoY)
    • Market share: 28% (+595 bps YoY)
    • USDC on platform: $6.0B (+924% YoY)
    • Meaningful wallets: 5.7M (+68% YoY)

    Profitability
    • Adj. EBITDA: $126M (+52% YoY), margin 50% (+463 bps)
    • RLDC: $251M (+38% YoY); margin 38% (-408 bps) → to watch

    Guidance
    • USDC growth: ~40% CAGR (multi-year)
    • FY25 Other Rev: $75–85M | FY25 RLDC margin: 36–38%
    • FY25 Adj. Opex: $475–490M

    Strategy / Corporate
    • $1.2B IPO completed; $583M net cash
    • Circle Payments Network (May): 100+ institution pipeline
    • Arc: L1 for stablecoin finance (public testnet fall)
    • Partnerships: Binance, Corpay, FIS, Fiserv, OKX
    • GENIUS Act enacted → Federal stablecoin framework in the US

    CEO – Jeremy Allaire: IPO marks critical turning point for Circle and stablecoin adoption; cross-industry interest accelerates.

    My comment:
    Strong outlook: USDC volume & market share accelerating; core profitability (Adj. EBITDA, 50% margin) healthy.
    Red dot: EPS/Net loss largely a non-cash accounting impact from the IPO; not a sign of operational weakness.
    3 key points in focus: (1) Is USDC circulation growth sustainable? (2) Is the RLDC margin reversing from 38%? (3) Actual adoption/integration speed in Payments Network & Arc.
    Thesis: Regulation clarified with the GENIUS Act + institutional partnerships → Increases revenue visibility in 2H25.
    Risks: Crypto volume cycle, Tether competition, maintaining OPEX discipline.

    Not investment advice!!!
    #CRCL #USDC #Stablecoin #Crypto #Fintech #Earnings #Web3 #Payments #Blockchain
    $CRCL | Circle Internet Q2’25 Summary • Revenue: $658M 🟢 (Est. $644.7M) | +53% YoY • EPS: -$0.18 🔴 (Est. $0.34) → non-cash expenses, largely driven by the IPO; Net Loss -$482M (including $591M IPO-related charges) USDC & Operations • USDC in circulation: $61.3B (+90% YoY) — Aug 10: $65.2B • Avg USDC: $61.0B (+86% YoY) • Market share: 28% (+595 bps YoY) • USDC on platform: $6.0B (+924% YoY) • Meaningful wallets: 5.7M (+68% YoY) Profitability • Adj. EBITDA: $126M (+52% YoY), margin 50% (+463 bps) 🟢 • RLDC: $251M (+38% YoY); margin 38% (-408 bps) → to watch Guidance • USDC growth: ~40% CAGR (multi-year) • FY25 Other Rev: $75–85M | FY25 RLDC margin: 36–38% • FY25 Adj. Opex: $475–490M Strategy / Corporate • $1.2B IPO completed; $583M net cash • Circle Payments Network (May): 100+ institution pipeline • Arc: L1 for stablecoin finance (public testnet fall) • Partnerships: Binance, Corpay, FIS, Fiserv, OKX • GENIUS Act enacted → Federal stablecoin framework in the US CEO – Jeremy Allaire: IPO marks critical turning point for Circle and stablecoin adoption; cross-industry interest accelerates. My comment: Strong outlook: USDC volume & market share accelerating; core profitability (Adj. EBITDA, 50% margin) healthy. Red dot: EPS/Net loss largely a non-cash accounting impact from the IPO; not a sign of operational weakness. 3 key points in focus: (1) Is USDC circulation growth sustainable? (2) Is the RLDC margin reversing from 38%? (3) Actual adoption/integration speed in Payments Network & Arc. Thesis: Regulation clarified with the GENIUS Act + institutional partnerships → Increases revenue visibility in 2H25. Risks: Crypto volume cycle, Tether competition, maintaining OPEX discipline. Not investment advice!!! #CRCL #USDC #Stablecoin #Crypto #Fintech #Earnings #Web3 #Payments #Blockchain
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