📊 MAG7 vs. S&P 493 – April 7 → August 12, 2025 The market picture is clear: The big ones are carrying, the broad base is providing limited support. Here's an X-ray of the last 4.5 months ⬇️ 🔹 MAG7 (AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA) • Index Weight: ~35.4% 📈 (record high) • Performance: +10.7% • Earnings growth +28% in Q1, continued strong in Q2 • Still priced in with the "AI + quality growth" narrative • Risk: High valuation → susceptibility to surprises 🔹 S&P 493 (Remainder) • Performance: +4.1% (RSP index) • Breadth: 55% at 200-day moving average • Earnings growth, but above-index momentum is limited • Valuation is more reasonable → potential for "catch-up" 🔹 Overall Index (S&P 500) • Performance: +8.3% • P/E: 22.1x → Above 5- and 10-year moving averages • Q2 earnings growth: 11.8% (mega-caps again the driving force) 📌 Reading: While the MAG7 rebounded ~35% from its April 7 lows, the broad base remains moderate. Most of the index's rise comes from giants. Concentration risk is high → the impact is disproportionate, both in the uptrend and downtrend. 📌 Tactical Recommendation: - Strengthen the Majors: Include companies with growing profits and strong balance sheets (excess cash) within the MAG7 in your main portfolio. - Layer the Rest: Add small-medium weightings to sectors (healthcare, select industrials, some defensive stocks) within the 493 whose earnings expectations have been revised upwards and whose prices remain reasonable. - Divide Risk: Don't concentrate your investment solely on giant stocks; Diversify with products like the equal-weight index (RSP) or the S&P 500 – Excluding Top 10 Stocks. - Follow the Macro: Fed interest rate decisions, inflation data, and global trade news can quickly change the direction of mega-cap stocks in particular. This is not investment advice, but for informational purposes only!!! #MAG7 #SP500 #Finance #StockMarket #Investment #Stocks #MarketAnalysis #Investor #BorsaIstanbul #NASDAQ #WallStreet #Economy #FinancialLiteracy #Index #InvestmentStrategy #Portfolio

As the rally in technology stocks boosts market sentiment, investors continue to assess the impact of Trump's new tariffs. 🔹 S&P 500 futures: +0.3% 🔹 Nasdaq 100 futures: +0.3% 🔹 Dow futures: +0.2% 📊 Bond Market 10Y return: 4.26% (flat) 2Y return: +1bp ➡ 3.75% 📌 Thursday Summary S&P 500: -0.08% (Eli Lilly earnings pressured) Nasdaq: +0.35% 🆙 Mag-7: +0.40% 📈 (All-time high) 💬 Deutsche Bank – Jim Reid: “Trump’s chip tax exemptions and the easing of Russia-Ukraine tensions have tempered optimism. Tariffs have taken effect, but the market reaction has been weak.” 📰 Other Developments Trump tariffs officially began last night Fed Governor Waller is emerging as a candidate for chairman after Powell Today's data agenda is quiet; St. Louis Fed President Musalem will speak #SP500 #Nasdaq #DowJones #TrumpTariffs #BondMarket #Fed #Markets