• European stock markets mixed!
    While the #Eurozone composite #PMI data exceeded expectations, the #Stoxx600 finished the day slightly lower. All attention turned to Fed Chair Powell's speech in Jackson Hole.

    #Europe #Economy #Stock Market #JacksonHole
    ๐ŸšจEuropean stock markets mixed! ๐Ÿค” While the #Eurozone composite #PMI data exceeded expectations, the #Stoxx600 finished the day slightly lower. All attention turned to Fed Chair Powell's speech in Jackson Hole. ๐Ÿ“Š #Europe #Economy #Stock Market #JacksonHole
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  • Airbnb's stock snapped a six-day winning streak.

    Airbnb ($ABNB) shares closed down 0.83% after a 3.6% gain over the past six sessions. Economic uncertainty, increasing regulatory restrictions, and the costs of new businesses are fueling concerns about the company's future.

    #Airbnb #ABNB #StockMarket #Economy #Stocks #Investment #Technology
    ๐ŸšจAirbnb's stock snapped a six-day winning streak. ๐Ÿ“‰ Airbnb ($ABNB) shares closed down 0.83% after a 3.6% gain over the past six sessions. Economic uncertainty, increasing regulatory restrictions, and the costs of new businesses are fueling concerns about the company's future. ๐Ÿค” #Airbnb #ABNB #StockMarket #Economy #Stocks #Investment #Technology
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  • Australia's unemployment rate fell in July
    Unemployment rate: 4.2% (June: 4.3%) – in line with expectations
    Number of unemployed: 649,600, down 10,200
    Participation rate: 67.0% (expected: 67.1%)
    This level represents a retreat from the highest unemployment rate since November 2021
    #Australia #Unemployment #Economy #Employment
    ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ“‰ Australia's unemployment rate fell in July ๐Ÿ”น Unemployment rate: 4.2% (June: 4.3%) – in line with expectations ๐Ÿ”น Number of unemployed: 649,600, down 10,200 ๐Ÿ”น Participation rate: 67.0% (expected: 67.1%) ๐Ÿ“† This level represents a retreat from the highest unemployment rate since November 2021 #Australia #Unemployment #Economy #Employment
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  • India & China to Negotiate Border Trade Agreement After 5 Years
    Rising Trade Tensions with the US Brings the Two Countries Closer
    Trade with Locally Produced Goods May Restart at Shared Border Points
    Advanced Talks to Restart Direct Flights
    Step Responds to Trump's 50% Tariff Raise on India
    #India #China #Trade #Economy #Geopolitics
    ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ India & China to Negotiate Border Trade Agreement After 5 Years ๐Ÿ”น Rising Trade Tensions with the US Brings the Two Countries Closer ๐Ÿ”น Trade with Locally Produced Goods May Restart at Shared Border Points ๐Ÿ”น Advanced Talks to Restart Direct Flights ๐Ÿ”น Step Responds to Trump's 50% Tariff Raise on India #India #China #Trade #Economy #Geopolitics
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  • The Atlanta Fed's Core Sticky CPI data has shown a sharp increase since Independence Day. The rise in these "sticky" items, where prices change more slowly, suggests that inflation could be more persistent.

    Analysts are closely watching how this data will affect markets.

    #Inflation #Economy #Fed #CPI #Market #Investment #RBAdvisors
    The Atlanta Fed's Core Sticky CPI data has shown a sharp increase since Independence Day. The rise in these "sticky" items, where prices change more slowly, suggests that inflation could be more persistent. Analysts are closely watching how this data will affect markets. #Inflation #Economy #Fed #CPI #Market #Investment #RBAdvisors
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  • MAG7 vs. S&P 493 – April 7 → August 12, 2025

    The market picture is clear: The big ones are carrying, the broad base is providing limited support. Here's an X-ray of the last 4.5 months

    MAG7 (AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA)
    • Index Weight: ~35.4% (record high)
    • Performance: +10.7%
    • Earnings growth +28% in Q1, continued strong in Q2
    • Still priced in with the "AI + quality growth" narrative
    • Risk: High valuation → susceptibility to surprises

    S&P 493 (Remainder)
    • Performance: +4.1% (RSP index)
    • Breadth: 55% at 200-day moving average
    • Earnings growth, but above-index momentum is limited
    • Valuation is more reasonable → potential for "catch-up"

    Overall Index (S&P 500)
    • Performance: +8.3%
    • P/E: 22.1x → Above 5- and 10-year moving averages
    • Q2 earnings growth: 11.8% (mega-caps again the driving force)

    Reading:
    While the MAG7 rebounded ~35% from its April 7 lows, the broad base remains moderate. Most of the index's rise comes from giants. Concentration risk is high → the impact is disproportionate, both in the uptrend and downtrend.

    Tactical Recommendation:

    - Strengthen the Majors: Include companies with growing profits and strong balance sheets (excess cash) within the MAG7 in your main portfolio.

    - Layer the Rest: Add small-medium weightings to sectors (healthcare, select industrials, some defensive stocks) within the 493 whose earnings expectations have been revised upwards and whose prices remain reasonable.

    - Divide Risk: Don't concentrate your investment solely on giant stocks; Diversify with products like the equal-weight index (RSP) or the S&P 500 – Excluding Top 10 Stocks.

    - Follow the Macro: Fed interest rate decisions, inflation data, and global trade news can quickly change the direction of mega-cap stocks in particular.

    This is not investment advice, but for informational purposes only!!!
    #MAG7 #SP500 #Finance #StockMarket #Investment #Stocks #MarketAnalysis #Investor #BorsaIstanbul #NASDAQ #WallStreet #Economy #FinancialLiteracy #Index #InvestmentStrategy #Portfolio
    ๐Ÿ“Š MAG7 vs. S&P 493 – April 7 → August 12, 2025 The market picture is clear: The big ones are carrying, the broad base is providing limited support. Here's an X-ray of the last 4.5 months โฌ‡๏ธ ๐Ÿ”น MAG7 (AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA) • Index Weight: ~35.4% ๐Ÿ“ˆ (record high) • Performance: +10.7% • Earnings growth +28% in Q1, continued strong in Q2 • Still priced in with the "AI + quality growth" narrative • Risk: High valuation → susceptibility to surprises ๐Ÿ”น S&P 493 (Remainder) • Performance: +4.1% (RSP index) • Breadth: 55% at 200-day moving average • Earnings growth, but above-index momentum is limited • Valuation is more reasonable → potential for "catch-up" ๐Ÿ”น Overall Index (S&P 500) • Performance: +8.3% • P/E: 22.1x → Above 5- and 10-year moving averages • Q2 earnings growth: 11.8% (mega-caps again the driving force) ๐Ÿ“Œ Reading: While the MAG7 rebounded ~35% from its April 7 lows, the broad base remains moderate. Most of the index's rise comes from giants. Concentration risk is high → the impact is disproportionate, both in the uptrend and downtrend. ๐Ÿ“Œ Tactical Recommendation: - Strengthen the Majors: Include companies with growing profits and strong balance sheets (excess cash) within the MAG7 in your main portfolio. - Layer the Rest: Add small-medium weightings to sectors (healthcare, select industrials, some defensive stocks) within the 493 whose earnings expectations have been revised upwards and whose prices remain reasonable. - Divide Risk: Don't concentrate your investment solely on giant stocks; Diversify with products like the equal-weight index (RSP) or the S&P 500 – Excluding Top 10 Stocks. - Follow the Macro: Fed interest rate decisions, inflation data, and global trade news can quickly change the direction of mega-cap stocks in particular. This is not investment advice, but for informational purposes only!!! #MAG7 #SP500 #Finance #StockMarket #Investment #Stocks #MarketAnalysis #Investor #BorsaIstanbul #NASDAQ #WallStreet #Economy #FinancialLiteracy #Index #InvestmentStrategy #Portfolio
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  • Why does the AI → Quantum → Space chain make sense?

    AI (Artificial Intelligence)
    It's the hottest story in the investment world today. However, the evolution of technology requires the next "infrastructure leap." This is where quantum computing comes into play.

    โš› Quantum Computing
    It has the potential to increase processing speed and data processing capacity millions of times over. This revolution could fundamentally change AI, drug discovery, financial modeling, and energy optimization.

    Space Sector
    It has the power to create new economic areas in data transmission (satellite internet, quantum communication), energy (solar energy transfer from space), mining (asteroid mining), and defense.

    Market Situation

    Quantum: Few publicly traded "pure" players (Rigetti, IonQ, QBTS), but giants like Microsoft, Google, and IBM are investing aggressively.

    Space: SpaceX is private, but Rocket Lab (RKLB), Maxar, L3Harris, Lockheed Martin, and Northrop Grumman stand out on the public side.

    Risk vs. Return
    High-risk/long-term areas. Volatility is high, but so is the potential.
    Some of the positive momentum in AI may shift to the Quantum breakthrough and Space Economy boom period between 2027 and 2035.

    Strategy Recommendation

    1๏ธโƒฃ Short-Medium Term: Generate revenue from the AI ecosystem (GPU, data center, software).
    2๏ธโƒฃ Medium-Long Term: Gradually increase Quantum & space investments.
    3๏ธโƒฃ ETF + Leading Company Mix: Thematic ETF + selected leaders to diversify risk.

    This is not investment advice, it is for informational purposes only!!!
    #AI #QuantumComputing #SpaceEconomy #Investing #StockMarket #Technology #Investment #FutureOfTech #Innovation #Stock Market #ArtificialIntelligence #Space
    ๐Ÿš€ Why does the AI → Quantum → Space chain make sense? ๐ŸŒŒ ๐Ÿค– AI (Artificial Intelligence) It's the hottest story in the investment world today. However, the evolution of technology requires the next "infrastructure leap." This is where quantum computing comes into play. โš› Quantum Computing It has the potential to increase processing speed and data processing capacity millions of times over. This revolution could fundamentally change AI, drug discovery, financial modeling, and energy optimization. ๐Ÿช Space Sector It has the power to create new economic areas in data transmission (satellite internet, quantum communication), energy (solar energy transfer from space), mining (asteroid mining), and defense. ๐Ÿ“Š Market Situation Quantum: Few publicly traded "pure" players (Rigetti, IonQ, QBTS), but giants like Microsoft, Google, and IBM are investing aggressively. Space: SpaceX is private, but Rocket Lab (RKLB), Maxar, L3Harris, Lockheed Martin, and Northrop Grumman stand out on the public side. ๐ŸŽฏ Risk vs. Return High-risk/long-term areas. Volatility is high, but so is the potential. Some of the positive momentum in AI may shift to the Quantum breakthrough and Space Economy boom period between 2027 and 2035. ๐Ÿ’ก Strategy Recommendation 1๏ธโƒฃ Short-Medium Term: Generate revenue from the AI ecosystem (GPU, data center, software). 2๏ธโƒฃ Medium-Long Term: Gradually increase Quantum & space investments. 3๏ธโƒฃ ETF + Leading Company Mix: Thematic ETF + selected leaders to diversify risk. This is not investment advice, it is for informational purposes only!!! #AI #QuantumComputing #SpaceEconomy #Investing #StockMarket #Technology #Investment #FutureOfTech #Innovation #Stock Market #ArtificialIntelligence #Space
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  • $AAPL Apple and $NVDA Nvidia will be exempt from tariffs thanks to their US investments!
    Donald Trump announced that he will impose new tariffs of up to 100% on chips and semiconductors to encourage domestic production.
    However, he stated that companies that have invested heavily in the US, such as Apple and Nvidia, will not be affected by these tariffs.

    This development coincides with decisions by tech giants to increase their investments in the US. Apple's announcement of an additional $100 billion investment is one of the most concrete examples of this decision.

    #Trump #Apple #Nvidia #Tariff #Economy
    $AAPL Apple and $NVDA Nvidia will be exempt from tariffs thanks to their US investments! ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ’ฐ Donald Trump announced that he will impose new tariffs of up to 100% on chips and semiconductors to encourage domestic production. However, he stated that companies that have invested heavily in the US, such as Apple and Nvidia, will not be affected by these tariffs. This development coincides with decisions by tech giants to increase their investments in the US. Apple's announcement of an additional $100 billion investment is one of the most concrete examples of this decision. #Trump #Apple #Nvidia #Tariff #Economy
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  • Oscar ($OSCR), like its competitors, has been negatively impacted by the rise in the US morbidity rate.

    Morbidity refers to the average health deterioration in the US population.

    While the exact cause is unknown, Americans are now less healthy.

    The impact is reflected in the "Medical loss ratio" line on the income statement. This means the company is now paying more premiums back to policyholders as claims.

    I thought morbidity could be a problem, but Oscar could manage it with artificial intelligence applications.

    It seems I was wrong, at least for now.

    I was predicting OSCR could better select and price patients with AI, but that's been a lie for now.

    Oscar Health 2025 Q2 Results Announced!
    Oscar Health announced its Q2 2025 financial results. While revenue and EPS fell short of expectations, the company maintained its year-end revenue guidance. Here are the details:

    Revenue: 2.86 Billion (Expected 2.92 Billion)
    Earnings per Share (EPS): -0.89 (Expected -0.84)
    Memberships: 2.03 Million (+29% YoY increase)

    Annual revenue guidance remained unchanged at 12.0 Billion - 12.2 Billion. The company stated that it experienced a loss in the quarter due to increased risk adjustment costs in the insurance market.

    CEO Mark Bertolini: "We believe the individual market has long-term potential and that the future is in healthcare."

    #OscarHealth #OSCR #Finance #StockMarket #Technology #Healthcare #Investment #Economy
    Oscar ($OSCR), like its competitors, has been negatively impacted by the rise in the US morbidity rate. Morbidity refers to the average health deterioration in the US population. While the exact cause is unknown, Americans are now less healthy. The impact is reflected in the "Medical loss ratio" line on the income statement. This means the company is now paying more premiums back to policyholders as claims. I thought morbidity could be a problem, but Oscar could manage it with artificial intelligence applications. It seems I was wrong, at least for now. I was predicting OSCR could better select and price patients with AI, but that's been a lie for now. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Oscar Health 2025 Q2 Results Announced! ๐Ÿ“‰ Oscar Health announced its Q2 2025 financial results. While revenue and EPS fell short of expectations, the company maintained its year-end revenue guidance. Here are the details: ๐Ÿ”น Revenue: 2.86 Billion (Expected 2.92 Billion) ๐Ÿ”ด ๐Ÿ”น Earnings per Share (EPS): -0.89 (Expected -0.84) ๐Ÿ”ด ๐Ÿ”น Memberships: 2.03 Million (+29% YoY increase) Annual revenue guidance remained unchanged at 12.0 Billion - 12.2 Billion. The company stated that it experienced a loss in the quarter due to increased risk adjustment costs in the insurance market. CEO Mark Bertolini: "We believe the individual market has long-term potential and that the future is in healthcare." #OscarHealth #OSCR #Finance #StockMarket #Technology #Healthcare #Investment #Economy
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  • German Factory Orders Drop Unexpectedly in June

    June 2025: -1.0% (Expected: +1.0%)
    May (revised): -0.8%
    Second consecutive month of decline!
    Main reason:
    – Sharp decline of -23.1% in aircraft, ship, train, and military vehicle orders
    – Demand also weakened for automotive and metal products
    Electrical equipment orders increased
    3-month average (Q2): +3.1%
    – Orders brought forward ahead of global tariff hikes and the trade recovery in the Eurozone supported

    #Germany #DAX #EWG #Economy #IndustrialOrders #EURUSD #RecessionRisk
    ๐Ÿ“‰ German Factory Orders Drop Unexpectedly in June ๐Ÿ”น June 2025: -1.0% (Expected: +1.0%) โŒ ๐Ÿ”น May (revised): -0.8% ๐Ÿ”น Second consecutive month of decline! ๐Ÿ“‰ Main reason: – Sharp decline of -23.1% in aircraft, ship, train, and military vehicle orders โœˆ๏ธ๐Ÿšข๐Ÿš† – Demand also weakened for automotive and metal products ๐Ÿš—๐Ÿ”ง ๐Ÿ”Œ Electrical equipment orders increased โœ… ๐Ÿ“Š 3-month average (Q2): +3.1% – Orders brought forward ahead of global tariff hikes and the trade recovery in the Eurozone supported ๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ“ฆ #Germany #DAX #EWG #Economy #IndustrialOrders #EURUSD #RecessionRisk
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  • According to analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, US President Donald Trump's alleged $300 billion investment in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) is paving the way for upcoming semiconductor tariffs.
    According to Kuo, this claim is part of Trump's negotiating tactic. Noting that the officially announced investment is $165 billion, Kuo believes Trump aims to start negotiations with this high figure and then offer a discount.

    #TSMC #TSM #DonaldTrump #Semiconductor #US #Economy #TariffWar #Investment
    According to analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, US President Donald Trump's alleged $300 billion investment in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) is paving the way for upcoming semiconductor tariffs. ๐Ÿ“ˆ According to Kuo, this claim is part of Trump's negotiating tactic. Noting that the officially announced investment is $165 billion, Kuo believes Trump aims to start negotiations with this high figure and then offer a discount. #TSMC #TSM #DonaldTrump #Semiconductor #US #Economy #TariffWar #Investment
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  • #GDPNow
    GDPNow has raised its Q3 growth forecast from +2.1% to +2.5%.

    The growth rate of the US economy, or real GDP (GDP) growth rate, is one of the most important indicators of economic activity. However, official growth figures are often released with a lag. That's where the GDPNow model, developed by the Atlanta Fed, comes in!

    GDPNow uses available economic data for a given period to generate a "nowcast" economic growth forecast before the official release.
    #GDPNow GDPNow has raised its Q3 growth forecast from +2.1% to +2.5%. The growth rate of the US economy, or real GDP (GDP) growth rate, is one of the most important indicators of economic activity. However, official growth figures are often released with a lag. That's where the GDPNow model, developed by the Atlanta Fed, comes in! ๐Ÿฆโœจ GDPNow uses available economic data for a given period to generate a "nowcast" economic growth forecast before the official release.
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